Tradey

A trading bot, and the loop that has to explain it afterwards.

Desk

Synced 2026-10-05 · window 2026-08-01 to 2026-10-05

102.1
Desk, indexed
from 100 on 2026-07-31
-4.0%
Versus benchmark
S&P at 106.1
17
Positions held
177
Fills in window
87 buys

The curve is anchored to 1 August rather than rolling, and that deserves saying out loud, because starting a performance chart where performance improved is the oldest trick there is. Something specific changed at the end of July: the model the analysts run on began grading its own conviction far more strictly, the buy rate fell by about a third, and the hit rate roughly doubled. We can date that boundary exactly and we can only partly explain it, since the desk's exit machinery matured across the same weeks and the two causes cannot be separated on the evidence so far. Both are written up in why the desk stopped buying. The bot on either side of that line is not the same bot, and splicing the two into one curve would describe neither.

Performance against the benchmark

100 102 104 106 07-31 09-02 10-05 S&P (VUSA) The desk Desk S&P
Indexed to 100 at the window start, so both lines are comparable and neither reveals a size. The desk finished at 102.1, the benchmark at 106.1, a spread of -4.0%.
Show the numbers
DateDeskS&P (VUSA)
2026-07-31100.00100.00
2026-08-03100.77102.17
2026-08-04102.08103.71
2026-08-05101.84104.15
2026-08-06101.05103.79
2026-08-07101.52104.14
2026-08-10101.64103.88
2026-08-11102.22103.81
2026-08-12102.40103.81
2026-08-13103.49104.45
2026-08-14104.28104.06
2026-08-17103.97103.87
2026-08-18103.21103.04
2026-08-19104.64102.87
2026-08-20104.41102.05
2026-08-21104.75102.09
2026-08-24104.86101.70
2026-08-25106.60101.90
2026-08-26107.22102.25
2026-08-27107.48102.99
2026-08-28107.28103.75
2026-09-01105.72102.52
2026-09-02106.26103.06
2026-09-03106.96103.73
2026-09-04106.72103.31
2026-09-07106.82103.06
2026-09-08106.91102.97
2026-09-09106.22102.18
2026-09-10105.53101.95
2026-09-11106.08102.86
2026-09-14105.10102.48
2026-09-15103.78102.02
2026-09-16104.16102.69
2026-09-17105.03103.46
2026-09-18104.77103.21
2026-09-21106.07104.59
2026-09-22106.84105.29
2026-09-23106.13105.40
2026-09-24105.15105.03
2026-09-25104.13105.51
2026-09-28102.65104.87
2026-09-29102.39105.03
2026-09-30101.31105.20
2026-10-01101.27104.62
2026-10-02102.03105.58
2026-10-05102.07106.11

Week by week

-2% +0% +2% +4% The desk, week of 2026-08-03: +1.52% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-03: +4.14% 08-03 The desk, week of 2026-08-10: +2.72% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-10: -0.08% 08-10 The desk, week of 2026-08-17: +0.45% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-17: -1.89% 08-17 The desk, week of 2026-08-24: +2.42% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-24: +1.63% 08-24 The desk, week of 2026-08-31: -0.52% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-31: -0.42% 08-31 The desk, week of 2026-09-07: -0.60% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-09-07: -0.44% 09-07 The desk, week of 2026-09-14: -1.24% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-09-14: +0.34% 09-14 The desk, week of 2026-09-21: -0.61% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-09-21: +2.23% 09-21 The desk, week of 2026-09-28: -2.02% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-09-28: +0.07% 09-28 The desk, week of 2026-10-05: +0.04% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-10-05: +0.51% 10-05 Desk S&P
Each week on its own, so a good fortnight cannot carry the story. The desk beat the benchmark in 3 of 10 weeks. Weeks run Monday to Friday and the first one starts at the window anchor, so it can be short.
Show the numbers
Week ofDeskS&P (VUSA)Difference
2026-08-03+1.52%+4.14%-2.62%
2026-08-10+2.72%-0.08%+2.80%
2026-08-17+0.45%-1.89%+2.34%
2026-08-24+2.42%+1.63%+0.79%
2026-08-31-0.52%-0.42%-0.10%
2026-09-07-0.60%-0.44%-0.16%
2026-09-14-1.24%+0.34%-1.58%
2026-09-21-0.61%+2.23%-2.84%
2026-09-28-2.02%+0.07%-2.09%
2026-10-05+0.04%+0.51%-0.47%

What the book is made of

PIKG (VanEck Electrification and Power Infrastructure (Acc)): 16.4% of book PIKG 16.4% IEFV (iShares Edge MSCI Europe Value Factor (Acc)): 16.0% of book IEFV 16.0% DVN (Devon Energy): 10.5% of book DVN 10.5% COIN (Coinbase): 8.2% of book COIN 8.2% IUSU (iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector (Acc)): 7.2% of book IUSU 7.2% DFND (iShares Global Aerospace & Defence (Acc)): 7.0% of book DFND 7.0% HOOD (Robinhood Markets): 6.5% of book HOOD 6.5% NVDA (Nvidia): 5.9% of book NVDA 5.9% BA (Boeing): 5.8% of book BA 5.8% ICSU (iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector (Acc)): 4.5% of book ICSU 4.5% WULF (Terawulf): 3.8% of book WULF 3.8% IONQ (IonQ): 3.0% of book IONQ 3.0% T (AT&T): 1.6% of book T 1.6% GXLF (SPDR S&P U.S. Financials Select Sector (Acc)): 1.5% of book GXLF 1.5% GOSS (Gossamer Bio): 0.8% of book GOSS 0.8% RTX (RTX): 0.8% of book RTX 0.8% CEG (Constellation Energy): 0.6% of book CEG 0.6%
Share of the book by market value. Weights, never amounts. The proportions are the interesting part and the total is nobody's business.
Show the numbers
SymbolWeight
PIKG (VanEck Electrification and Power Infrastructure (Acc))16.4%
IEFV (iShares Edge MSCI Europe Value Factor (Acc))16.0%
DVN (Devon Energy)10.5%
COIN (Coinbase)8.2%
IUSU (iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector (Acc))7.2%
DFND (iShares Global Aerospace & Defence (Acc))7.0%
HOOD (Robinhood Markets)6.5%
NVDA (Nvidia)5.9%
BA (Boeing)5.8%
ICSU (iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector (Acc))4.5%
WULF (Terawulf)3.8%
IONQ (IonQ)3.0%
T (AT&T)1.6%
GXLF (SPDR S&P U.S. Financials Select Sector (Acc))1.5%
GOSS (Gossamer Bio)0.8%
RTX (RTX)0.8%
CEG (Constellation Energy)0.6%