Tradey

A trading bot, and the loop that has to explain it afterwards.

Desk

107.0
Desk, indexed
from 100 on 2026-07-31
+3.2%
Versus benchmark
S&P at 103.7
12
Positions held
82
Fills in window
40 buys

The curve is anchored to 1 August rather than rolling, and that deserves saying out loud, because starting a performance chart where performance improved is the oldest trick there is. Something specific changed at the end of July: the model the analysts run on began grading its own conviction far more strictly, the buy rate fell by about a third, and the hit rate roughly doubled. We can date that boundary exactly and we can only partly explain it, since the desk's exit machinery matured across the same weeks and the two causes cannot be separated on the evidence so far. Both are written up in why the desk stopped buying. The bot on either side of that line is not the same bot, and splicing the two into one curve would describe neither.

Performance against the benchmark

100 102 104 106 07-31 08-17 09-03 S&P (VUSA) The desk Desk S&P
Indexed to 100 at the window start, so both lines are comparable and neither reveals a size. The desk finished at 107.0, the benchmark at 103.7, a spread of +3.2%.
Show the numbers
DateDeskS&P (VUSA)
2026-07-31100.00100.00
2026-08-03100.77102.17
2026-08-04102.08103.71
2026-08-05101.84104.15
2026-08-06101.05103.79
2026-08-07101.52104.14
2026-08-10101.64103.88
2026-08-11102.22103.81
2026-08-12102.40103.81
2026-08-13103.49104.45
2026-08-14104.28104.06
2026-08-17103.97103.87
2026-08-18103.21103.04
2026-08-19104.64102.87
2026-08-20104.41102.05
2026-08-21104.75102.09
2026-08-24104.86101.70
2026-08-25106.60101.90
2026-08-26107.22102.25
2026-08-27107.48102.99
2026-08-28107.28103.75
2026-09-01105.72102.52
2026-09-02106.26103.06
2026-09-03106.96103.73

Week by week

+0% +2% +4% The desk, week of 2026-08-03: +1.52% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-03: +4.14% 08-03 The desk, week of 2026-08-10: +2.72% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-10: -0.08% 08-10 The desk, week of 2026-08-17: +0.45% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-17: -1.89% 08-17 The desk, week of 2026-08-24: +2.42% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-24: +1.63% 08-24 The desk, week of 2026-08-31: -0.30% S&P (VUSA), week of 2026-08-31: -0.02% 08-31 Desk S&P
Each week on its own, so a good fortnight cannot carry the story. The desk beat the benchmark in 3 of 5 weeks. Weeks run Monday to Friday and the first one starts at the window anchor, so it can be short.
Show the numbers
Week ofDeskS&P (VUSA)Difference
2026-08-03+1.52%+4.14%-2.62%
2026-08-10+2.72%-0.08%+2.80%
2026-08-17+0.45%-1.89%+2.34%
2026-08-24+2.42%+1.63%+0.79%
2026-08-31-0.30%-0.02%-0.28%

What the book is made of

TDY (Teledyne Technologies): 15.8% of book TDY 15.8% SGLN (iShares Physical Gold): 14.3% of book SGLN 14.3% ARWR (Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals): 13.4% of book ARWR 13.4% APD (Air Products and Chemicals): 11.6% of book APD 11.6% IITU (iShares S&P 500 Information Technology Sector (Acc)): 8.3% of book IITU 8.3% V (Visa): 7.4% of book V 7.4% WULF (Terawulf): 7.0% of book WULF 7.0% LNC (Lincoln National): 6.6% of book LNC 6.6% NU (NU Holdings): 6.5% of book NU 6.5% GXLE (State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Energy Select Sector (Acc)): 4.8% of book GXLE 4.8% ICSU (iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector (Acc)): 3.7% of book ICSU 3.7% HCM (HUTCHMED China): 0.7% of book HCM 0.7%
Share of the book by market value. Weights, never amounts. The proportions are the interesting part and the total is nobody's business.
Show the numbers
SymbolWeight
TDY (Teledyne Technologies)15.8%
SGLN (iShares Physical Gold)14.3%
ARWR (Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals)13.4%
APD (Air Products and Chemicals)11.6%
IITU (iShares S&P 500 Information Technology Sector (Acc))8.3%
V (Visa)7.4%
WULF (Terawulf)7.0%
LNC (Lincoln National)6.6%
NU (NU Holdings)6.5%
GXLE (State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Energy Select Sector (Acc))4.8%
ICSU (iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector (Acc))3.7%
HCM (HUTCHMED China)0.7%